Title:
|
A Multiple-model predictor approach based on an On-line mode recognition with application to water demand forecasting
|
Author:
|
López Farías, Rodrigo; Puig Cayuela, Vicenç
|
Other authors:
|
Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Departament d'Enginyeria de Sistemes, Automàtica i Informàtica Industrial; Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. SAC - Sistemes Avançats de Control |
Abstract:
|
This paper proposes a general Multiple-Model Predictor frame-work for forecasting time series that presents multiple patterns (behaviours). The proposed approach allows off-line identifying the different time-series behaviours, training a model for each behaviour and identifing on-line which is the pattern and associated model to use at each time instant. A particular case based on K-means and Radial Basis Functions (RBF) is proposed to exemplify a possible implementation. To illustrate the use and performance of the proposed approach, an application of the short-term water demand forecast is presented using demand data from the Barcelona drinking water network. |
Subject(s):
|
-Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Informàtica::Automàtica i control -Predictive control -multi-model predictor -forecasting -clustering -mode-detection -Control predictiu |
Rights:
|
|
Document type:
|
Article - Submitted version Conference Object |
Published by:
|
Universidad de Granada
|
Share:
|
|