Title:
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Contagion or Interdependence in the recent Global Financial Crisis? An application to the stock markets using unconditional cross-market correlations
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Author:
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Urbina, Jilber
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Other authors:
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Universitat Rovira i Virgili. Departament d'Economia; Universitat Rovira i Virgili. Centre de Recerca en Economia Industrial i Economia Pública |
Abstract:
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We consider stock market contagion as a significant increase in cross-market linkages after a shock to
one country or group of countries. Under this definition we study if contagion occurred from the U.S.
Financial Crisis to the rest of the major stock markets in the world by using the adjusted (unconditional)
correlation coefficient approach (Forbes and Rigobon, 2002) which consists of testing if average crossmarket
correlations increase significantly during the relevant period of turmoil. We would not reject the
null hypothesis of interdependence in favour of contagion if the increase in correlation only suggests a
continuation of high linkages in all state of the world. Moreover, if contagion occurs, this would justify
the intervention of the IMF and the suddenly portfolio restructuring during the period under study. |
Publication date:
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2013 |
Subject (UDC):
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339 - Comerç. Relacions econòmiques internacionals. Economia mundial. Màrqueting |
Subject(s):
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Borsa de valors Crisi financera global, 2007-2009 |
Rights:
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L'accés als continguts d'aquest document queda condicionat a l'acceptació de les condicions d'ús establertes per la següent llicència Creative Commons: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/ |
Pages:
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22 p. |
Document type:
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Working Paper |
Published by:
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Universitat Rovira i Virgili. Departament d'Economia
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Collection:
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Documents de treball del Departament d'Economia;2013-11
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