Title:
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Divorce and the business cycle: a cross-country analysis
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Author:
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González-Val, Rafael; Marcén, Miriam
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Notes:
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In this paper, we examine the role of the business cycle in divorce. To do so, we use a panel of 29 European countries covering the period from 1991 to 2012. We find the unemployment rate negatively affects the divorce rate, pointing to a pro-cyclical evolution of the divorce rate, even after controlling for socio-economic variables and unobservable characteristics that can vary by country, and/or over time. Results indicate that a onepercentage-point increase in the unemployment rate involves almost 0.025 fewer divorces per thousand inhabitants. The impact is small, representing around 1.2% of the average divorce rate in Europe during the period considered. Supplementary analysis, developed to explore a possible non-linear pattern, confirms a negative relationship between unemployment and divorce in European countries, with the inverse relationship being more pronounced in those countries with higher divorce rates. |
Subject(s):
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-Divorci -Atur -Cicles econòmics -Divorce -Unemployment -Business cycles |
Rights:
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cc-by-nc-nd, (c) González-Val, et al., 2015
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/
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Document type:
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Working Paper |
Published by:
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Institut d’Economia de Barcelona
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