Decision confidence and uncertainty in diffusion models with partially correlated neuronal integrators

Abstract

Diffusion models have become essential for describing the performance and statistics of reaction times in human decision making. Despite their success, it is not known how to evaluate decision confidence from them. I introduce a broader class of models consisting of two partially correlated neuronal integrators with arbitrarily time-varying decision boundaries that allow a natural description of confidence. The dependence of decision confidence on the state of the losing integrator, decision time, time-varying boundaries, and correlations is analytically described. The marginal confidence is computed for the half-anticorrelated case using the exact solution of the diffusion process with constant boundaries and compared to that of the independent and completely anticorrelated cases.